USA enters as the heavy pool favorite with home crowd advantage at Minute Maid Park. Mexico and Canada fight for the second seed in what is the most manageable Tier 1 draw.
Teams
1USA#3 global
15%
title probability
2Mexico#7 global
5%
title probability
3Canada#10 global
2%
title probability
4Colombia#13 global
0.8%
title probability
5Great Britain#20 global
0.1%
title probability
Key Race
Mexico vs Canada for second seed
Quarterfinal Routing
Pool B winner → QF 3 vs Pool C runner-up. Pool B runner-up → QF 4 vs Pool C winner.
Title probabilities: BSI probability model (200K Monte Carlo simulations) · Pre-tournament baseline · March 4, 2026